Base de datos servel pdf3/12/2023 This dataset underwent an independent verification process that replicated the tables and figures in the primary article. “The Geography of Repression and Opposition to Autocracy.” American Journal of Political Science Forthcoming. ()ĭictatorship, Repression, Democratization, Military, Pinochetīautista, Maria Angelica, Felipe Gonzalez, Luis R. Election outcomes after democratization show no lasting change in political preferences. Potential mechanisms include informational frictions on the intensity of repression in counties far from bases and shifts in preferences caused by increased proximity to the events. Our main result is that residents of counties close to military bases both registered to vote and voted "No" to Pinochet's continuation in power at higher rates in the crucial 1988 plebiscite that bolstered the democratic transition. We exploit the location of military bases before the coup that brought Augusto Pinochet to power in Chile in 1973, which is uncorrelated to pre-coup electoral outcomes, and show that counties near these bases experienced more killings and forced disappearances at the hands of the government during the dictatorship. State repression is a prominent feature of non-democracies, but its effectiveness in quieting dissent and fostering regime survival remains unclear.
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